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Updated 15 Oct. '07

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  Where are you..........Home » The Beach » Erosion Forecast

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Beach Erosion Update

By: Dylan Anderson

Latest Information on Beach Erosion:  The pictures and points below indicate the latest situation on the St Francis Beach:

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach

Ralph Road: 5pm 19 March

Ralph Road: 10am 20 March

Ralph Road: 10am 20 March

Detailed surveys have been undertaken of the full length of St. Francis Bay beach on a monthly basis, starting from October 2006. These surveys include walking the low and high water marks as well as additional lines along the centre of the beach. Measurements are taken at 4m intervals in order to provide an accurate assessment of losses and gains from the beach over the periods shown below.

All the readings are taken using a precision GPS system allowing accurate calculation of volume gains and losses over the entire beach. The beach has been divided into four main areas covering the four sections to be protected by the artificial reefs. These are as follows:

  • Losses for the full six month period October, 2006 to March, 2007 amounts to 90 317 m³ with 100 379 m³ having been lost in the two month period February to March, 2007. 

  • It is also important to note that the following six month period April - September. 2007 covers three of the winter months where the most erosion can be anticipated.  It is possible that the losses off the beach for the full year will be in the range 150 000 - 200 000 m³ which is significantly more than previous estimates.

  • It is also important to note that Sector 4 of the beach from Aldabara Run to the Estuary mouth has lost over 61 363 or 67.94% of the total loss over this period.  This is the section including the barrier dune between the beach and the Ski Canal and confirms the forecast by ASR that this could be breached in the next 10 - 15 years depending on the type of wave events experienced and the average rate of erosion.  In the case of abnormal storm events being experienced the barrier dune could even be breached earlier than the forecast which would threaten the viability of the total canal system.   

 

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach

Area 1: Nevil Road to Anne Avenue 645m

Area 2: Anne Avenue to Peter Crescent 690m

Area 3: Peter Crescent to Aldabara Run 600m

Area 4: Aldabara Run to the Kromme River Mouth 960m

Total Length of Beach 2.895 km.

Figure 1. The graph above shows the volume of sand lost and gained over the different areas of the beach since October 2006. Note: The volumes indicated are conservative.  For further information contact the Beach Trust 
 

Month Area 1 Area 2 Area 3 Area 4 Total
CM³ Percent CM³ Percent CM³ Percent CM³ Percent CM³
Oct 06 -2392 -16.30% -1703 -11.60% -2076 -14.14% -8507 -57.96% -14678
Nov 06 1050 29.93% -488 -13.91% 192 5.47% -4262 -121.49% -3508
Dec 06 4974 35.01% 3677 25.88% 1057 7.44% 4499 31.67% 14207
Jan 07 1569 11.17% 5414 38.56% 3759 26.77% 3299 23.50% 14041
Feb 07 -7470 -11.10% -17395 -25.86% -11403 -16.95% -31009 -46.09% -67277
Mar 07 -1005 -3.04% -5657 -17.09% -1057 -3.19% -25383 -76.68% -33102
Apr 07 5203 24.64% 2961 14.02% 3078 14.58% 9874 46.76% 21116
May 07 -6129 -486.04% 3876 307.38% -2167 -171.85% 3159 250.52% -1261
Jun 07 228 11.92% 1376 71.93% -238 -12.44% 547 28.59% 1913
Jul 07 2441 28.31% 1677 19.45% -2528 -29.32% 7031 81.56% 8621
Aug 07 -2472 -15.88% 2543 16.34% 5028 32.31% 10463 67.23% 15562
Sep 07 1089 30.57% -3021 -84.81% 4930 138.41% 564 15.83% 3562
Net (+/-) -2914 -7.14% -6740 -16.52% -1425 -3.49% -29725 -72.85% -40804

 

 

Table 1. Gains/losses and percentages over the four different areas, combined total for each month in far right column and net gains/losses and percentages for each area in bottom row. Extreme losses over February/March, 2007 are evident from the survey results. 

 
Update 4 October, 2007
In looking at the total beach area by area it is clear that a number of key observations can be made over the full survey period from the start of October, 2006. These are:
  • Area 1: Nevil Road to Anne Avenue:  Only limited erosion over the period due to partial protection from revetments, Santareme and Cape St Francis on the West.
  • Area 2: Anne Avenue to Peter Crescent: Erosion is vertical where there are rock revetments (Ralph Road) and landwards where there is no protection.
  • Area 3: Peter Crescent to Aldabara Run: Erosion in the vertical plane due to the rock revetments in this area.  Very limited erosion overall.
  • Area 4: Aldabara Run to the Kromme River: Unprotected stretch with the bulk of the erosion here being landward threatening the barrier dune.  
It is clear from the 12 month figures that the further north on the beach one progresses the greater the erosion on an exponential scale with almost 73% or 29 725 cu m of the total erosion of 40 804 cu m being in Area 4 (barrier dune)   Area 3 is the one with full rock revetments protecting the houses on the beachfront and shows the least erosion. Here the erosion is in the vertical plane as it is impossible for there to be landward erosion of any magnitude.  This is resulting in more beach being lost in front of the revetments as has already taken place in front of Ralph Road (Area 2).
 
In terms of the various stories that the beach is returning, all that is happening is as the top of the beach is eroded it drops the sand on to the beach where it may appear that accretion is taking place.  This is currently evident in the Peter Crescent / George Road area as well as at the mouth of the Kromme. For real accretion to take place there needs to be a sand source as was previously available in the Santareme dune field prior to it being developed for housing.  
 
The good news is that we have not experienced strong Easterly swells in September, 2007 though these could still be coming in October / November, 2007. These swells cause much of the beach erosion as experienced in February / March, 2007 (see note above).  This has resulted in lower than anticipated erosion over the full 12 month period from October, 2006.     
 
Note: We will shortly be in a position to include a full review of the 12 month survey period from October, 2006 showing both landward and vertical erosion rates for each section of beach.

Figure 2. Shows a summary of net gains or losses for the different areas including a total, over the past since October 2006, with greatest losses experienced in area 4 from Aldabara run to the mouth.

 

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach

Left: Storm seas over the 3rd to the 5th of March 2007 resulted in acute erosion leading to the undermining and partial collapse of this section of Ralph Road.

See old revetments in foreground.

Right: Old revetments placed on the beach in 1995 have been re-exposed by recent erosion, the beach has retreated an average of 20m along this stretch of beach over the last twelve years. 

In some areas close to the Ski Canal there has been close to this amount of erosion since October, 2006.

See latest recommendations from Dr Shaw Mead of ASR below. 

www.sfbbeachtrust.org - St Francis Bay Beach Trust ~ Saving Our Beach